Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.060964 0.069014 0.077267 0.086332 0.095978 0.105909 0.116876
2025-07-20 0.045670 0.057255 0.069784 0.084196 0.100180 0.117242 0.136711
2025-07-27 0.038958 0.053010 0.068845 0.087683 0.109177 0.132669 0.160029
2025-08-03 0.032624 0.048067 0.066158 0.088331 0.114251 0.143138 0.177338
2025-08-10 0.027768 0.044153 0.064052 0.089095 0.118980 0.152829 0.193434
2025-08-17 0.023262 0.040074 0.061255 0.088606 0.121885 0.160139 0.206575
2025-08-24 0.018280 0.034726 0.056358 0.085108 0.120833 0.162541 0.213794
2025-08-31 0.014550 0.030588 0.052611 0.082692 0.120794 0.165897 0.221918
2025-09-07 0.012266 0.028238 0.051000 0.082796 0.123689 0.172623 0.233902
2025-09-14 0.010719 0.026808 0.050497 0.084221 0.128143 0.181165 0.247999
2025-09-21 0.010078 0.026752 0.051872 0.088097 0.135675 0.193439 0.266563
2025-09-28 0.008641 0.025153 0.050897 0.088723 0.139000 0.200536 0.278901
2025-10-05 0.008750 0.026445 0.054414 0.095809 0.151079 0.218935 0.305539
2025-10-12 0.006589 0.023257 0.051074 0.093400 0.150888 0.222267 0.314116
2025-10-19 0.005989 0.022975 0.052122 0.097076 0.158635 0.235476 0.334730
2025-10-26 0.004906 0.021470 0.051117 0.097760 0.162381 0.243655 0.349196
2025-11-02 0.004002 0.020136 0.050261 0.098569 0.166237 0.251937 0.363774
2025-11-09 0.003049 0.018394 0.048572 0.098051 0.168231 0.257810 0.375349
2025-11-16 0.001912 0.015645 0.044873 0.094342 0.165735 0.257839 0.379582
2025-11-23 0.001165 0.013536 0.042054 0.091778 0.164672 0.259604 0.385894
2025-11-30 0.000793 0.012459 0.041024 0.091888 0.167262 0.266053 0.398047
2025-12-07 0.000580 0.011887 0.040908 0.093400 0.171799 0.275031 0.413384
2025-12-14 0.000533 0.012130 0.042419 0.097511 0.180025 0.288852 0.434862